Macro and Rates
Fed policy and rate cuts
Not on the starting list: Claude named it and a second pass merged look-alike labels into it.
- Episodes
- 52
- Share
- 5.6%
- Shows
- 41
- Net sentiment
- −0.66
Down from 10% of episodes in the weeks before; net sentiment was −0.62.
Bullish 4Mixed 9Neutral 2Bearish 37
5 weeks
Share of each week's episodes, and net sentiment.
0%5%10%
Sep 21Sep 28Oct 5Oct 12Oct 19
Net sentiment
−10+1
Sep 21Sep 28Oct 5Oct 12Oct 19
The episodes behind it
Why each one was bullish, bearish or in between. Most time on the theme first.
Bullish 4
- He expects the Fed to reverse course and cut rates next year once labor weakness and slowing growth show up.David Rosenberg: Bubbles, Bonds, and Boomers · Insight is Capital™ Podcast · Oct 23
- Speakers see the path of least resistance for rates as lower, easing market pressure.Joe Consorti on $MSTR, $STRC Buys and Bitcoin Through $100K · The Daily Stack · Oct 19
- Peace could give the Fed room to stop hiking, which would support Bitcoin.The World Is Burning Markets Are Ripping & Bitcoin Is Next! | Truth Block · Simply Bitcoin · Oct 20
- Ackman expects falling rates and inflation once Iran and Russia-Ukraine resolve.11AM Hour: Pershing Square's Bill Ackman, Breaking Down Tech Earnings & New Web Security Flaw Uncovered 10/22/26 · Squawk on the Street · Oct 22
Bearish 37
- Markets price further hikes, and tighter policy may be needed to restrain inflation and growth.A Narrower Path for Growth and Stability · Thoughts on the Market · Oct 19
- Fed expected to keep hiking to tackle persistent inflation, tightening financial conditions for markets.One Global Shock, Different Rate Paths · Thoughts on the Market · Oct 23
- Markets expect possible hawkish dissents and rate hikes, with inflation trending higher and the Fed seen as not yet restrictive.Fairly Choppy Markets, Light Macro Heading Into Fed Day (E282) · DoubleLine Minutes · Oct 23
- Host argues rates stay high or rise, so cuts are unlikely soon.54. AI Is Creating a Problem the Fed Can’t Fix (Oct 2026 Interest Rate Update) · AJ Osborne Podcast · Oct 21
- Hosts expect the Fed to hold, then hike by December, which pressures bond and stock valuations.Can Bonds Still Do Their Job? · On Investing · Oct 23
- Druckenmiller argues the Fed's extreme easing is excessive, fueling asset bubbles and eventual market damage.Stan Druckenmiller: Macro, QE, Inflation, The Fed, Investing · Investing Legends · Oct 22
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- Speaker expects the Fed may be forced to hike rates, which is negative for gold.Precious Metals Squeezed by Persistent Oil Inflation · Morning Drive · Oct 23
- Fed has hiked and CIO raised its hike expectations, pressuring valuations though not expected to derail growth.Top of the Morning: CIO Equity Pulse - Monthly performance update & outlook · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 23
- Brazil's very high interest rates persist due to indexation and subsidized credit, limiting how far rates can fall.The World Cup of Politics (Brazil Elections) · The Jacob Shapiro Podcast · Oct 23
- Host expects the Fed to hold or hike rates, not cut, given persistent inflation pressure.THS LIVE | Brent At $116, Nasdaq 100 Drops Almost 3% & US Pulls Staff From Saudi Arabia · The Higher Standard · Oct 23
- Expected Fed rate hikes raised bond yields and the dollar, weighing on non-yielding gold in the short term.Felix Nikolas Prehn: Why Central Banks Keep Buying Gold As Prices Fall · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast · Oct 22
- Inflation pressures raise the chance of a Fed rate hike, which weighs on gold and bonds.Joseph Cavatoni: Gold, Inflation, Interest Rates & Geopolitics · The Prospector News Podcast · Oct 22
- Hot inflation may force further rate hikes, tightening conditions and raising risk of recession.Chinese FM's takeaways from his Eurasia trip · World Today · Oct 20
- Hot inflation data and commentary point toward possible rate hikes, which pressures stocks.10AM Hour: Apple's Foldable Future, SpaceX Shakes Up Telecom, OpenAI’s New Valuation 10/23/26 · Squawk on the Street · Oct 23
- Expectation of a pause next week and a likely December rate increase weighs on metals.Morning Briefing: Morning Briefing: Gold and Silver Slide as Oil Surges; Canagold and Minaurum Report High-Grade Drill Results · Mining Stock Daily · Oct 22
- Higher rates and possible further tightening are seen as near-term vulnerabilities.Economic Roundtable: What’s Keeping Global Growth Going? · Thoughts on the Market · Oct 22
- Futures price a likely December rate hike after hot CPI and PPI, a headwind for markets.The Markets Shifting, Buying A House, and The AI Bubble Impact | Money Moves · Millionaire Mindcast · Oct 21
- Surprise rate hike and possible further hikes create headwinds for risk assets in the near term.Wall Street Is Betting on Ethereum - So Why Isn't ETH Exploding? · Milk Road Crypto · Oct 21
- Rates rising and a tight Fed stance weigh on capital-intensive AI and data center names.Squawk on the Street 10/19/26 · Squawk on the Street · Oct 19
- Fed expected to proceed with gradual hikes rather than cuts, keeping pressure on markets.Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Sustainability of the AI trade · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 19
- Strong growth and wage gains could push the Fed toward tighter policy, pressuring markets.Rare Disease Progress, Tech Charity, & the Elizabeth Holmes Doc 10/19/26 · Squawk Pod · Oct 19
- A Fed rate hike and higher rates are tightening conditions that will weigh on earnings.Beta Out, Quality In: Positioning for the Next Market Cycle · What's Next For Markets · Oct 25
- Barry Knapp argues Fed rate hikes are too tight and damaging housing and small borrowers.The Exchange 10/23/26 · The Exchange · Oct 23
- Markets now price possible rate hikes rather than cuts, tightening financial conditions further.The Only Way Out Is Through | Weekly Roundup · Forward Guidance · Oct 23
- Possible Fed rate hikes to fight inflation could pressure commodity funds' long positions.Oct 22 | Commodity Week · Commodity Week · Oct 22
- Central banks hiking rates tightens funding conditions and pressures credit-dependent AI build-out.Is Inflation About to Derail the Rally? · Macro Mondays · Oct 19
- Markets price a possible December rate hike after hot inflation, raising pressure on risk assets.Black Monday Never Showed Up: Bitcoin Reclaims While ETFs Bleed · The Bitcoin Street Journal Market Update · Oct 19
- Expectation of further rate hikes and elevated rates for longer weighs on borrowers.Guggenheim, Oaktree, Eagle Point share insights on credit · Credit Exchange with Lisa Lee · Oct 23
- Hosts expect a hawkish FOMC after high inflation data, tightening liquidity for risk assets like crypto.Satoshi (AI) + Blockchain DXB 🔴 20th Oct 🔴 💳 Mastercard Global money platform 🏦 J.P. Morgans JPM Coin on Ethereum 🟣 New programming language for Cardano 🔴 Revolut in Gibraltar · Blockchain DXB · Oct 20
- Discussion of possible Fed hikes and rising input prices points to tighter policy weighing on markets.10AM Hour: Stocks Stage Midday Reversal, Starboard’s Jeff Smith, Predicting Netflix’s Post-Earnings Move 10/20/26 · Squawk on the Street · Oct 20
- Restrictive monetary policy is described as a near-term headwind for Bitcoin and risk assets.Michael Saylor: Bitcoin at Beginning of Next Bull Run, Clarity Act "Bill of Restrictions" · Schwab Network · Oct 19
- Hot inflation revived rate hike bets, pressuring crypto flows and risk assets.Citi Reveals Top Crypto Stock Picks Ahead of Q3 Earnings · CoinDesk Podcast Network · Oct 19
- Rising inflation and pressure on rates make the economic backdrop harder for the administration.Tension and Tirades Inside the U.S. Treasury · The Journal. · Oct 19
- Hosts expect further Fed rate hikes that would push mortgage rates higher and pressure markets.The AI Debt Scare, a Rotation Into Value, and the Year-End Deadline You Can’t Afford to Miss · Money Matters with Dean Greenberg · Oct 19
- Rising inflation and expected hikes weigh on income-focused REITs and bonds.India's Jio IPO Tests Emerging Market Investing — Is India a Better Bet Than China Right Now? · InvestTalk · Oct 23
- Rate hikes raise borrowing costs and pressure risk assets and AI-linked debt.128: The Unwind · This Week in Bitcoin · Oct 21
- Higher interest rates raise the cost of building new gas plants, weighing on investment.How much new gas capacity does the Texas grid need? · Energy Evolution · Oct 20
Mixed 9
- Strategist expects a pause and a dovish hike, with rates tighter since summer but not overly restrictive.Top of the Morning: CEO Macro Briefing Book Q4 update · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 21
- Speakers expect possible December hike then cuts by late 2027, a path that is still debated.Fixed Income Conversation Corner with Lindsay Rosner (GSAM) and Leslie Falconio (UBS CIO) · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 21
- A new hawkish Fed chair and more rate changes create both volatility and trading opportunity.Macro Is Back — But Ken Tropin Says That Doesn’t Make It Easy · In Conversation with Julie Segal · Oct 20
- Fed focus is on repo liquidity and bank reserves rather than policy rates, so the rate path is less informative.Michael Howell: Bullish on Gold, Cautious on What Comes Next · Mining Stock Daily · Oct 23
- Rate hikes squeeze margins and slow growth for one or two quarters, though the impact is manageable.Affirm: The Internet’s American Express - [Business Breakdowns, EP.249] · Business Breakdowns · Oct 22
- Rising rates and inflation risk leave Fed direction uncertain, pressuring stocks if the Fed tightens too much.Imminent Squeeze?🚨Crypto Market Update · The Paul Barron Crypto Show · Oct 20
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- China's policy rate target change may or may not signal easing; the technical shift matters little.UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Market wobbles and economic stability' · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 20
- Rising rates are a headline concern for deal financing, though the economy remains resilient.Moderna’s Dr. Stephen Hoge on AI and the Future of Healthcare · Inside Blackstone · Oct 20
- Speaker expects possible rate hikes as priced in; mixed view on the market implication.Citrini: Monkeys Are The Next Bottleneck | Citrini on AI Drug Discovery Experiment & Reflexive Financing Risk to AI Buildout & Hardware Trade · Monetary Matters with Jack Farley · Oct 25
Neutral 2
- Bank of Japan likely to hike rates but without urgency, a factual outlook with no clear investing lean.UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Who cares about technology?' · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 23
- Discussed mainly as part of dollar plumbing and swap lines rather than a rate call.Why He Puts 10% of What He Makes Into Physical Gold | George Gammon · Kitco NEWS · Oct 22
Around it
Companies named
- Affirm1
Shows that covered it most
- UBS On-Air: Market Moves6
- Squawk on the Street4
- Thoughts on the Market3
- Mining Stock Daily2
- CoinDesk Podcast Network1
- Macro Mondays1
Travels with
Themes in the same episodes, against chance.
Themes, sentiment and reasons are AI-written paraphrases, checked so they never quote an episode. They may contain errors. Not investment advice. Episodes remain the property of their creators.
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