Macro and Rates
Bond market and yields
Treasuries, term premium, bond vigilantes
- Episodes
- 77
- Share
- 8.2%
- Shows
- 58
- Net sentiment
- −0.54
Down from 15% of episodes in the weeks before; net sentiment was −0.68.
Bullish 8Mixed 17Neutral 6Bearish 46
5 weeks
Share of each week's episodes, and net sentiment.
0%5%10%15%
Sep 21Sep 28Oct 5Oct 12Oct 19
Net sentiment
−10+1
Sep 21Sep 28Oct 5Oct 12Oct 19
The episodes behind it
Why each one was bullish, bearish or in between. Most time on the theme first.
Bullish 8
- Yields near multi-decade highs offer cushion and attractive total return potential for bond investors.Fixed Income Conversation Corner with Lindsay Rosner (GSAM) and Leslie Falconio (UBS CIO) · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 21
- Negative SOFR-Fed funds spread signals abundant liquidity supporting leveraged trades.Is Inflation About to Derail the Rally? with Andreas Steno | Macro Mondays - Oct. 19, 2026 · Real Vision · Oct 19
- Starting yields are attractive versus equity dividend yields, making duration a good entry point.David Rosenberg: Bubbles, Bonds, and Boomers · Insight is Capital™ Podcast · Oct 23
- Digital credit is pitched as fixed income whose income derives from Bitcoin appreciation rather than interest rates."We Are in the Very Early Innings": Sam Callahan on Bitcoin, ETFs & Institutional Adoption · The Bitcoin Treasuries Podcast with Tim Kotzman · Oct 23
- Notes that short bond futures positions profited as interest rates kept climbing.How Market Wizard Caps Risk And Neutralizes Drawdowns · Investing With IBD · Oct 21
- Guest sees 10-year Treasury yields near 5% as attractive and expects them to fall toward the low 4s.80% of S&P 500 Stocks Are in Correction Territory. These 3 Are Still Buys · Street Talk · Oct 20
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- Expected falling bond yields could lift healthcare, infrastructure and property stocks.the call: Tuesday 20 October · The Call from ausbiz · Oct 20
- TIPS yield over 2% real, offering a way to protect capital while staying invested.U.S. Stocks Might Not Be as Expensive as You Think · Money for the Rest of Us · Oct 21
Bearish 46
- Rising global yields raise discount rates, lowering present values of equities unless growth offsets them.Rising Bond Yields, Ireland's Banking Turnaround, and China's Risk Premium | EP 233 · Art of Boring · Oct 22
- Rising yields make refinancing roughly a trillion euros of debt far more expensive.The Money Problem Fueling France’s Riots · The Journal. · Oct 23
- Rising yields on CoreWeave bonds and heavy debt supply push borrowing costs up, pressuring growth equities.CoreWeave Bond Crash: Why CRWV & Neocloud Stocks Are Tumbling · Chip Stock Investor Podcast · Oct 20
- Long-term yields rising on inflation and fiscal concerns signal tightening financial conditions.A Narrower Path for Growth and Stability · Thoughts on the Market · Oct 19
- Heavy AI and government bond issuance saturates demand and pushes yields higher.54. AI Is Creating a Problem the Fed Can’t Fix (Oct 2026 Interest Rate Update) · AJ Osborne Podcast · Oct 21
- Long-end yields have sold off globally and credit spreads are widening.One Global Shock, Different Rate Paths · Thoughts on the Market · Oct 23
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- Higher-for-longer rates and volatile bonds tighten liquidity and end the 40-year bond bull market.Cameron Dawson: Americans Have Never Been This All-In on Stocks · RiskReversal Pod · Oct 23
- French yields above 5% signal borrowing costs returning to normal levels after years of low yields.UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Oil and bonds' · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 22
- Yields are rising to catch up with nominal GDP, pressuring long-duration Treasuries.Why He Puts 10% of What He Makes Into Physical Gold | George Gammon · Kitco NEWS · Oct 22
- Low real rates and inflation make holding bonds a losing proposition in real terms.France Won’t Default. And That’s the Problem. · Less Noise, More Signal · Oct 21
- Rising Treasury yields push up borrowing costs across mortgages and consumer loans; bond vigilantes may force discipline.The $40 Trillion Question: Can America Escape Its Debt Trap? · The Economist Next Door · Oct 20
- Higher-for-longer or rising rates increase borrowing costs and refinancing pressure for capital-intensive providers.Signal Over Noise: Amid neocloud noise, AI demand remains the signal · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 19
- Rising long-end yields and Treasury financing pressure seen as a secular, hard-to-control threat to markets.Big Short Reunion w/ Danny Moses: Rising Rates, AI & Private Equity | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 80 · The Real Eisman Playbook · Oct 19
- Hosts say bond market stress could force bailouts and liquidity injections, hurting fiat holders.LEAKED: Here's The REAL Reason America Hasn't Bought Bitcoin For its Strategic Reserve... · Simply Bitcoin · Oct 19
- Rising yields and high-beta debt financing costs pressure unprofitable AI companies and stocks.The Stock Market LOSES 2 TRILLION, SpaceX and Meta CRUSH, Is CoreWeave Going Under | Basis Points · Basis Points · Oct 24
- Rising French 10-year yields raise discount rates and compress equity valuations.AI Bubble's Hidden Liabilities: 75¢ of Every $1 Is Circular · Deep Values · Oct 24
- Rising yields on French and AI-related debt raise financing costs and pressure risk assets.AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap · The Real Eisman Playbook · Oct 23
- Host doubts the bond rally and expects the 10-year yield to move back above 5%.THS LIVE | Brent At $116, Nasdaq 100 Drops Almost 3% & US Pulls Staff From Saudi Arabia · The Higher Standard · Oct 23
- Rising sovereign and corporate yields like French spreads and 15% debt penalize capital-heavy businesses.15% Debt Yields Are Breaking the AI Data Center Math · Deep Values · Oct 23
- Host says rising long-term yields signal buyers demanding more compensation, a vote of no confidence in US debt.France Is Burning (America Could Be Next) · ITM Trading Podcast · Oct 21
- Rising Treasury yields after hot inflation prints pressured stocks and rate-sensitive assets.It's a Bloodbath (EP. 487) · Animal Spirits · Oct 21
- A sharp Treasury yield jump raises discount rates and pressures equity valuations.AI Earnings Up 57%, Cash Payouts at a 20-Year Low | Stock Market · Deep Values · Oct 25
- Japan's higher rates raise debt service costs, pressuring future public spending and taxes.The Most Polite Financial Mugging? Max Wolff on the AI Bubble & Japan / 最後にババを引くのは誰？｜AIバブルと日本経済 · Malveaux: The Room · Oct 23
- Rising yields reflect normalization and inflation risk, pressuring equities while bonds offer carry.StoneX' Vincent Deluard: The S&P Is Hiding a Bear Market | #655 · The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing · Oct 23
- Long-dated yields are near multi-decade highs, pressuring bond markets and linked assets.Joseph Cavatoni: Gold, Inflation, Interest Rates & Geopolitics · The Prospector News Podcast · Oct 22
- Rising French yields and heavy issuance signal fiscal strain and pressure on borrowing costs.Is Nvidia Selling More Chips Than Anyone Can Use? · Prof G Markets · Oct 21
- Rising government borrowing costs threaten real estate and yield-oriented holdings.MIGO OPPORTUNITIES TRUST PLC - Investor Presentation relating to the quarter ending 30 September 2026 · Investor Meet Company - Audio Archive · Oct 21
- Host expects rates to stay high or rise, pressuring borrowers and asset prices.The Man Who Called 2008 Is Warning You Again - So Is JPMorgan’s CEO · IAllegedly · Oct 20
- Rising government bond yields above 5% could shrink equity valuation multiples across markets.Forget the S&P 500. Inflation Could Make Canada the Better Bet · In the Money with Amber Kanwar · Oct 20
- Rising French borrowing costs and US yield moves are cited as signs of fiscal stress.The World Is Burning Markets Are Ripping & Bitcoin Is Next! | Truth Block · Simply Bitcoin · Oct 20
- Bessent's expanded long-dated bond buybacks drew sharp criticism from Druckenmiller, signaling market unease.Tension and Tirades Inside the U.S. Treasury · The Journal. · Oct 19
- Higher yields and term premiums raise borrowing costs and pressure leveraged AI companies.10AM Hour: Geopolitical Risks for the Market, AI Rebound Coming? Fifth Third CEO on Earnings 10/19/26 · Squawk on the Street · Oct 19
- Volatility in yields and possible renewed rise could feed through to corporate debt and equities.Nothing Matters in the Market Until It Does with Mike Tracey · RiskReversal Pod · Oct 19
- Rising 30-year yields and mortgage rates raise the discount rate, pulling down asset valuations.Ken Griffin: AI Bulldozes Moats, GPUs Echo the 2000 Bust | Investor Playbook · Deep Values · Oct 25
- French yields hit a high while US yields dipped, with hosts expecting bond vigilantes to pressure France.AI Cyber Panic, Ken Griffin's Bubble Warning, The Fall of France? · All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg · Oct 23
- He is short global fixed income, seeing 10-year yields as far too low given nominal growth.Stan Druckenmiller: Macro, QE, Inflation, The Fed, Investing · Investing Legends · Oct 22
- Credit spreads in CCC junk bonds exploded above 1,300 basis points, signaling stress.Anthropic Has $750 Billion in Commitments… and Just $17 Billion in Revenue · Eurodollar University · Oct 22
- Hyperscaler long-term debt issuance and deficit fears may push yields higher.Talking Midterms with Libby Cantrill (FvF Ep. 210) · Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese · Oct 21
- A 10-year yield above 5% raises borrowing costs for leveraged AI companies.Why The Tech Selloff Just Reversed Course · Prof G Markets · Oct 20
- Strategist expects yields to stay elevated, keeping pressure on equities and housing.Bull Case for Coreweave, Putin Suggests Summit, and the Read on Retail 10/19/26 · The Exchange · Oct 19
- Yields above 5% raise hurdle rates and financing costs for debt-funded data center projects.10-19-26 Why Bad Inflation May Be Good for Markets · The Real Investment Show Podcast · Oct 19
- Rising yields and hot CPI and PPI readings hurt growth companies that depend on debt financing.Meta and Google Rejoin the Frontier, Microsoft's Maia 300, and the AI Credit Scare | The Six Five Pod Ep. 324 · The Six Five with Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman · Oct 19
- Rising yields and credit spread widening raise cost of capital for AI build-out.11AM Hour: EQT Chairman, TD Bank Vice Chair & Anthropic Gets Philanthropic 10/19/26 · Squawk on the Street · Oct 19
- Rising interest rates and sovereign debt concerns push up borrowing costs across corporate debt.Ted Sarandos on the Hot Seat? Netflix’s Identity Crisis · Next TMT Talks: The Intersection of Technology, Media and Telecom · Oct 23
- French debt yields hit their highest since 2002, and hosts discuss bond vigilantes pressuring fiscal policy.AI Cyber Panic, Ken Griffin's Bubble Warning, The Fall of France? · All-In Podcast · Oct 23
- Rates much higher than expected, pressuring developer financing and refinancing of maturing loans.Everyone’s Missing The Best Investment of The Decade | Grant Cardone & Leon Wankum · Rob Wallace | Bitcoin News · Oct 23
Mixed 17
- Yields swung sharply on hot inflation data, then fell on growth worries, leaving the bond outlook mixed.Can Bonds Still Do Their Job? · On Investing · Oct 23
- Strong investment-grade demand at higher yields is positive, but CCC spread widening and refinancing stress are concerns.Inside the Biggest Bond Boom in Years · Thoughts on the Market · Oct 21
- Bond yields are the highest since 2007, offering income and hedging, but long-duration bonds carry significant volatility risk.Why Won’t the Housing Market Crash? · Ask The Compound · Oct 21
- Yields are high but term premia are flat to falling; bonds look fairly priced for a strong nominal economy.Michael Howell: Bullish on Gold, Cautious on What Comes Next · Mining Stock Daily · Oct 23
- Record 30-year yields and crowding out pressure bonds, but a yield spike could also break the boom.Felix Nikolas Prehn: Why Central Banks Keep Buying Gold As Prices Fall · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast · Oct 22
- Yields fell despite hot PPI, signaling positioning shifts; rates remain a key funding risk.Is Inflation About to Derail the Rally? · Macro Mondays · Oct 19
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- Yields rose on growth strength, then eased; the curve stays positively sloped and no recession signal.Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Sustainability of the AI trade · UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Oct 19
- A sharp plunge in the 10-year Treasury yield pressured tech stocks while pulling money into bonds.Tech Stocks Hit, Yields Plunge As AI Trade Fizzles: NetApp, Amgen, Nasdaq In Focus · Stock Market Today With IBD · Oct 22
- Bonds rallied on growth fears, but rising inflation from oil keeps the longer-term outlook unattractive.The Only Way Out Is Through | Weekly Roundup · Forward Guidance · Oct 23
- Ten-year yield dips below 5% on growth worries, though rates are seen as having stabilized.Tech Tumbles In Market Sell-Off… And Moderna’s Meltdown After Data Leak 10/22/26 · CNBC's "Fast Money" · Oct 22
- Rising AI credit spreads are seen as healthy discipline, but higher yields pressure markets.Doubt but No Fear, SpaceX Reports, Netflix Cleans House, AI Bond Vigilantes, Bending Spoons · The Compound and Friends · Oct 20
- Bonds rallied as growth expectations fell, while sovereign spreads in Europe widened.Why Investors Are Reducing AI Exposure · The Markets · Oct 23
- The 10-year yield's sharp drop is linked to shifting Fed expectations rather than AI borrowing alone.The Exchange 10/23/26 · The Exchange · Oct 23
- Rising long-end Treasury yields pressured markets and prompted the Fed's response, though pressure may ease.Wall Street Is Betting on Ethereum - So Why Isn't ETH Exploding? · Milk Road Crypto · Oct 21
- Rising long-end yields are near-term bearish but seen as bullish longer term via future money supply expansion.Michael Saylor: Bitcoin at Beginning of Next Bull Run, Clarity Act "Bill of Restrictions" · Schwab Network · Oct 19
- Treasury yields fell sharply on a safety bid, while hosts see locking in high bond yields as attractive.The AI Debt Scare, a Rotation Into Value, and the Year-End Deadline You Can’t Afford to Miss · Money Matters with Dean Greenberg · Oct 19
- the call: Wednesday 21 October · The Call from ausbiz · Oct 21
Neutral 6
- The 10-year yield is testing a roughly 5% level after a sell-off, with moves tied to headlines and data.Fairly Choppy Markets, Light Macro Heading Into Fed Day (E282) · DoubleLine Minutes · Oct 23
- Yields are seen as driven by AI-related debt demand and growth expectations, and are a hedge against AI outcomes.A Capital Revolution: From AI to EM · Behind the Markets Podcast · Oct 23
- Discussion of whether Berkshire's cash should beat a roughly 4% risk-free Treasury yield.Buffett's $28B Google Bet: Not Even a Top-5 Favorite · Deep Values · Oct 25
- Treasury yields fell on safe-haven buying while French yields rose above US 10-year levels.9AM HOUR: AI Trade Pain, Meta and Tesla Slide, Jensen Huang Interview 10/22/26 · Squawk on the Street · Oct 22
- Treasury yields dropped sharply on safety flows, with the 10-year below 5% and mortgage rates easing.AI Fears Rise Again on Wall Street · WSJ What’s News · Oct 22
- Ten-year yields near 4.99 percent pressure rate-sensitive stocks, with debate on whether yields are overshooting.10AM Hour: Stocks Dive as Oil Spikes, Reaction to Meta and Tesla Results, IBM CEO on Demand 10/22/26 · Squawk on the Street · Oct 22
Around it
Companies named
- CoreWeave 2
- Aspen Group1
- Phoenix Pre Deutschland1
- Berkshire Hathaway 1
Shows that covered it most
- Deep Values5
- Squawk on the Street4
- UBS On-Air: Market Moves4
- Thoughts on the Market3
- RiskReversal Pod2
- Simply Bitcoin2
Travels with
Themes in the same episodes, against chance.
Themes, sentiment and reasons are AI-written paraphrases, checked so they never quote an episode. They may contain errors. Not investment advice. Episodes remain the property of their creators.
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