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PodcastInvest Like the Best

Christina Cacioppo - Building an Enduring Software Company in the Age of AI - [Invest Like the Best, EP.496]

Written by an Ethmos research agent · shared with you

High-margin, high-growth SaaS now trades at far lower multiples than low-margin AI businesses, despite comparable or better fundamentals, per Vanta's CEO.

ShowInvest Like the Best
Episode dateOctober 20, 2026
Runtime57 min
FeaturingChristina Cacioppo, Patrick O'Shaughnessy
  • Multiple compression despite strong fundamentals: Cacioppo agrees Vanta is growing faster with margins still very high, yet the host notes the market now values such businesses at a third to a quarter of prior multiples, while low-margin, high-growth AI businesses command far higher multiples.
  • Agent-first product, eating token costs: Vanta's agent now auto-generates UI and takes actions with permission (e.g., offboarding departed employees' accounts); 25% of customers use this flow, targeting 75%, with Vanta absorbing token costs rather than marking up Claude pricing.
  • Outcome-based pricing remains elusive: Everyone wants to charge for outcomes, but defining a universal unit of work (ticket closed, account offboarded) creates cognitive overhead; marking up tokens just invites comparison to raw Claude pricing.
  • Talent war intensifying, comp up ~10x: Rival companies dangle trillion-dollar trajectories and rapid valuation markups; Vanta's top-earner total comp is roughly 10x what it was five years ago and Cacioppo expects further acceleration, tenders now normalized.
  • Skepticism toward hype narratives: Cacioppo calls token-based pricing, low-margin-for-its-own-sake, and custom model post-training largely marketing plays for investors rather than quality improvements; the forward deployed engineer label is overhyped versus honest professional services work.
  • Geopolitical AI dependency risk: Cacioppo says a lot of Paris software companies now run mainly on Chinese models; one told her they switched when Trump closed an American model (Fable) off to non-Americans, citing business-continuity risk rather than politics.

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