Martin Wolf on the US midterms: What’s at stake for the world?

Applebaum argues Europe must build independent tech, military, and alliances since US reliability is structurally compromised regardless of midterm outcomes.

• Election integrity risks flagged: Applebaum cites federal-driven gerrymandering, demands for states to hand voter rolls to DOJ (mostly blocked in court), and unsubstantiated claims of mass illegal-immigrant voting as pre-election manipulation tactics.
• Thresholds for change: Applebaum says Democrats need roughly a 15-20 seat House margin for a 'solid majority' capable of checking Trump; a narrow or 50-50 result would embolden far-right and far-left movements in Europe.

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