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PodcastChinaTalkOctober 20, 2026

The MATCH Act and China’s DUV Imports

Closing the uncontrolled DUV lithography export loophole to China could preserve US AI chipmaking dominance through the 2030s.

  • Cannonball-sized loophole: China imported ~90 DUV immersion lithography systems/year in 2024–25 (worth over $10B), nearly two-thirds of ASML's immersion exports, because the NXT 1980 model is uncontrolled.
  • Lithography is the choke point: Nick Brown argues litho is the hardest semiconductor tool for China to indigenize, with zero domestic market share versus growing progress in etch, deposition, and CMP.

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