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PodcastUBS On-Air: Market MovesOctober 19, 2026

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Scapegoat economics'

China's export- and AI-driven growth meets its target, but rising economic nationalism in the US, EU, and France threatens trade and defense procurement patterns.

  • China GDP hits target: Q3 growth reported at 4.5% y/y, putting full-year growth on track to meet the official target, with little market surprise expected.
  • Exports, not consumption, drive growth: September retail sales improved but the domestic economy stays lacklustre; exports remain China's main growth engine despite tariffs.

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