PodcastMorning CallOctober 12, 2026
Geopolitical risks, bank earnings and AI drive market outlook 10/12/26
AI capex now exceeds railroads' historic GDP share, but Middle East escalation and inflation data could set the market's near-term tone.
- Middle East escalation risk: Deadly Houthi strikes killed 12+ at Riyadh airport over the weekend; Trump says the U.S. may join Saudi strikes against the Houthis, raising civilian-infrastructure/air-travel risk.
- Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire uncertain: Trump claims Russia and Ukraine agreed to an 'energy ceasefire' and a diesel supply deal; Zelensky says Ukraine will comply only if Russia reciprocates, and Trump suggested Zelensky be replaced.
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