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PodcastHidden ForcesOctober 12, 2026

Is It Time to Start Buying Bonds? | Jim Bianco

Bianco argues bonds are no longer overvalued because 5-6% yields now match a 5.5% nominal-GDP economy, not because of deficit fears.

  • Bonds turn attractive: Bianco says after six years bearish, most of the Treasury curve (5yr-30yr) now trades 5%-6%, matching his estimated 5.5% nominal GDP (2.5% real growth + 3% inflation).
  • AI concentration is historic: 41 S&P 500 AI-related companies are 49% of the index's market cap, and 70% of all US stock gains since ChatGPT's Nov 29, 2022 launch came from them.

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Themes, sentiment and reasons are AI-written paraphrases, checked so they never quote an episode. They may contain errors. Not investment advice. Episodes remain the property of their creators.