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PodcastPatrick Boyle On FinanceOctober 11, 2026

The French Bond Market Is on Fire

France's borrowing costs exceed Italy's and Greece's because of its persistent primary deficit and political paralysis, not debt levels alone.

  • Yields at 25-year highs: French 10-year borrowing costs neared 5% last week, with the spread over German bunds topping 1.5 points, the widest since 2011; corporate names like L'Oreal and Air Liquide now borrow more cheaply than Paris.
  • Primary balance is the tell: Italy runs a primary surplus and borrows cheaper than France despite more debt; France has run a primary deficit every year since 2002 and hasn't balanced its budget since 1974.

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Themes, sentiment and reasons are AI-written paraphrases, checked so they never quote an episode. They may contain errors. Not investment advice. Episodes remain the property of their creators.