What Happens When Billions of AI Agents Hit Your Database? (Andy Pavlo)

AI agents could drive a 10-100x increase in database query volume, reshaping tuning, text-to-SQL, and even database development itself.

• Vector databases commoditized: Pavlo says vector search was never a moat—"it's just an index"—and within a year of ChatGPT's rise every major database vendor had built one in, making it table stakes rather than a standalone category.
• Agent-driven volume surge: Pavlo estimates agents could drive a 10-100x increase in database query volume, marking a fourth historical era of volume growth after mainframes, internet, and mobile.

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