Climate Uncertainty: The Coolest Year for the Rest of Our Lives? with Zeke Hausfather

A record "super El Niño" plus aerosol cleanup could push 2027 temperatures to ~1.8°C, previewing warming a decade before it's "normal."

• 2027 to smash records: Hausfather estimates the current record-breaking El Niño will push 2027 global temperatures to roughly 1.8°C above pre-industrial levels, far above the prior record of 1.5°C.
• Aerosol cleanup accelerates warming: Sulfur dioxide cuts (China down 75% since 2008, shipping fuel rules cutting ~80% since 2020) have pushed warming from ~0.2°C to ~0.3°C per decade.

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