What Are Republican’s Chances in November? + Sen. Ted Cruz Joins the Fellas

Despite an 8.5-point Democratic generic-ballot lead, GOP candidate quality and a large ad-spending edge keep several Senate and governor races competitive.

• Generic ballot deficit: RealClearPolitics average shows Democrats with an 8.5-point lead on the generic congressional ballot, a level hosts call a "four alarm siren" for Republicans.
• Senate map narrows to nine toss-ups: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, Ohio and Maine are toss-ups; six were Trump-won states, meaning Republicans are mostly playing defense.

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