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PodcastUBS On-Air: Market MovesSeptember 29, 2026

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Bonding oil prices to yields'

Central bank rhetoric on oil, not oil prices themselves, risks pushing rates toward recession-inducing levels.

  • Oil-yield linkage: Rising crude prices have pushed bond yields higher in tandem, a correlation Donovan says has become an "unhealthy union."
  • Policy risk from oil focus: If central banks show concern over oil-driven inflation, the only lever they control is the non-oil economy—meaning rates could be pushed to recession-inducing levels.

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Themes, sentiment and reasons are AI-written paraphrases, checked so they never quote an episode. They may contain errors. Not investment advice. Episodes remain the property of their creators.