PodcastChinaTalkSeptember 28, 2026
China's Economy is Broken | Logan Wright
China's financial system, once the engine of its growth, now structurally caps growth near 1-2% with no easy reform path.
- Credit boom, then decay: Post-2008, China added a third of global GDP to bank assets in eight years; credit growth has since fallen from 18%/year (2007-2016) to 9% (2017-2024) to just 5% now.
- Evergrande as the crisis moment: Logan Wright dates China's 'financial crisis' to the September 2021 Evergrande lobby protests, arguing decay—not collapse—followed, with credit risk migrating from P2P lenders to banks to developers to LGFVs.
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