How much trouble is Greg Abbott in?

Abbott faces his closest race since 1990 amid affordability backlash, data-center anger, and a $50M-to-$4M spending gap against Hinojosa.

• Abbott's tightening margins: Abbott beat Wendy Davis by 20 points in 2014, Lupe Valdez by more, and Beto O'Rourke by 11 points in 2022 — margins keep shrinking each cycle.
• Spending mismatch: Abbott's campaign has already spent nearly $50 million on TV ads versus roughly $3-4 million spent by Democrat Gina Hinojosa so far.

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