AGI Rideout: Managing Risk on the Road to Advanced AI

RAND argues the US should hedge against AI-driven conflict risks during an uncertain, open-ended AGI transition rather than racing to "win" at all costs.

• Core strategy: RAND's "AGI Rideout" proposes the US treat the AI race like whitewater rafting — build resilience and stability, not just speed, since tech progress is largely uncontrollable and unpredictable.
• Three conflict pathways: Researchers identify war risks from (1) a bio-weapon-style AI attack, (2) a losing power striking preemptively fearing US "world takeover," and (3) AI-enabled regional aggression (e.g., China attacking Taiwan) spiraling into larger conflict.

Themes, sentiment and reasons are AI-written paraphrases, checked so they never quote an episode. They may contain errors. Not investment advice. Episodes remain the property of their creators.