PodcastBeyond the Polls with Henry OlsenSeptember 24, 2026

Reasonably Random Thoughts on Polling

Private polling data pushing GOP candidates to distance themselves from Trump suggests deeper 2026 vulnerability than headline polls, per pollster Jon Lerner and host Henry Olsen.

GOP candidates hedge on Trump: Republicans in Wisconsin, Florida, Texas and Alaska are publicly breaking with Trump on Iran and ICE, signaling their private data shows danger even in Trump+10-17 districts.
Registered-voter approval below 40%: Henry Olsen cites his Washington Post 'Margin of Victory' registered-voter average showing Trump under 40% approval, worse than the 33% cited from all-adult polls.

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Themes, sentiment and reasons are AI-written paraphrases, checked so they never quote an episode. They may contain errors. Not investment advice. Episodes remain the property of their creators.