Taiwan’s Slow Squeeze, Ukraine’s Long War

Freymann warns China's real Taiwan threat is a slow, imperceptible gray-zone squeeze, not invasion—potentially decisive by 2030.

• Gray zone over invasion: Eyck Freymann argues China's likeliest Taiwan move isn't invasion or blockade but a slow-motion 'all-domain pressure campaign'—harassment, customs quarantine, cyber attacks—that could leave Taiwan under de facto Chinese control by 2030 with no single dramatic day.
• AI talks unlikely to yield much: Freymann says the U.S. and China lack a shared framework on AI risk—China's 'p doom' concerns center on regime survival (e.g., Tiananmen queries) not extinction—making arms-control deals largely symbolic.

Themes, sentiment and reasons are AI-written paraphrases, checked so they never quote an episode. They may contain errors. Not investment advice. Episodes remain the property of their creators.