The Scott Adams School - Pollster, Mark Mitchell returns. Let's talk Midterms

Independent pollster Mark Mitchell puts the generic midterm ballot at roughly Democrat +9 to +14, driven by independents, not Trump base defection.

• Democrats up 9-14 nationally: Mitchell cites his own Honest Poll (D+14), Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio (D+11), and Rich Barris (D+11), calling a Republican House hold 'the biggest polling miss in history.'
• Affordability, not GDP, drives sentiment: YouGov tracking shows 55-60% say the economy is worsening—near Biden-era highs—despite 5% GDP and falling egg prices; 'Americans are smarter than you when it comes to their wallet.'

Themes, sentiment and reasons are AI-written paraphrases, checked so they never quote an episode. They may contain errors. Not investment advice. Episodes remain the property of their creators.